Toad Detour Predictor Page for the Roxborough Reservoir

Toads are comingToads are comingToads are comingToads are coming

Info: Official web site / Facebook

Basic information and gear list here

Forward toad crossings predicted to be (mostly) complete on 2022-04-14. On this day Last day? and the days beyond All done? the forecast is cutoff arbitrarily because a certain number have been predicted for the season. This is just a guess. (There will still be toads returning to the woods from the resevoir.)

Click on a date for forecast details. Forecast is how many American Toads a fully staffed detour night would count in the two hours after sunset.

Summary

Date

Sunset

Weather @ Sundown

All done?

Wednesday May 18th, 2022

8:11:48 PM EDT

66 / Mostly Cloudy

All done?

Thursday May 19th, 2022

8:12:43 PM EDT

74 / Mostly Clear

All done?

Friday May 20th, 2022

8:13:37 PM EDT

80 / Partly Cloudy

All done?

Saturday May 21st, 2022

8:14:30 PM EDT

86 / Slight Chance Rain Showers

All done?

Sunday May 22nd, 2022

8:15:22 PM EDT

72 / Chance Rain Showers

All done?

Monday May 23rd, 2022

8:16:14 PM EDT

64 / Mostly Cloudy

No toads

Tuesday May 24th, 2022

8:17:05 PM EDT

xxx / xxx

2022 Mar

SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

1 (0)

No toads

2 (0)

No toads

3 (0)

No toads

4 (0)

No toads

5 (0)

No toads

6
Toads: 0/0
[Preds: 0/0]

No toads

7
Toads: 54/10
Frogs: 9/2
[Preds: 290/290]

100+ toads

8 (0)

No toads

9 (0)

No toads

10 (0)

No toads

11 (0)

No toads

12 (0)

No toads

13 (0)

No toads

14 (0)

No toads

15 (0)

No toads

16
Toads: 0/0
[Preds: /0]

No toads

17
Toads: 134/7
Frogs: 5/0
[Preds: 0/90]

Oops!

18
Toads: 53/8
Frogs: 3/0
[Preds: 65/65]

A few toads

19
Toads: 346/34
Frogs: 3/0
[Preds: 65/65]

A few toads

20 (0)

No toads

21 (0)

No toads

22 (0)

No toads

23 (0)

No toads

24 (0)

No toads

25 (0)

No toads

26 (0)

No toads

27 (0)

No toads

28 (0)

No toads

29 (0)

No toads

30 (0)

No toads

31
Toads: 420/12
Frogs: 6/0
[Preds: 0/290]

Oops!
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

1 (0)

No toads

2 (0)

No toads

3 (0)

No toads

4 (0)

No toads

5
Toads: 3/0
[Preds: /0]

No toads

6 (90)

A few toads

7
Toads: 20/1
Frogs: 1/0
[Preds: /90]

A few toads

8 (0)

No toads

9 (0)

No toads

10 (0)

No toads

11 (0)

No toads

12
Toads: 20/2
[Preds: /40]

A few toads

13
Toads: 435/34
Frogs: 1/0
[Preds: /127]

100+ toads

14
Toads: 128/4
[Preds: /53]

Last day?

15
Toads: 0/0
[Preds: /0]

No toads

16
Toads: 40/0
[Preds: /0]

Oops!

17 (0)

No toads

18 (0)

No toads

19 (0)

No toads

20 (0)

No toads

21 (0)

No toads

22
Toads: 0/0
[Preds: /0]

No toads

23 (0)

No toads

24 (0)

No toads

25 (0)

No toads

26
Toads: 54/4
Frogs: 3/0
[Preds: /0]

All done?

27 (0)

No toads

28 (0)

No toads

29 (0)

No toads

30 (0)

No toads
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

1 (0)

No toads

2 (0)

No toads

3 (0)

No toads

4
Toads: 8/0
[Preds: /0]

All done?

5 (0)

All done?

6
Toads: 34/5
Frogs: 0/1
[Preds: /0]

Oops!

7 (0)

No toads

8 (0)

No toads

9 (0)

No toads

10 (0)

No toads

11 (0)

All done?

12 (0)

All done?

13
Toads: 91/9
Frogs: 4/4
[Preds: /0]

All done?

14
Toads: 120/6
Frogs: 12/1
[Preds: /0]

All done?

15
Toads: 1/0
Frogs: 6/2
[Preds: /0]

All done?

16
Toads: 13/4
Frogs: 1/0
[Preds: /0]

All done?

17 (0)

All done?

18 (0)

All done?

19 (0)

All done?

20 (0)

All done?

21 (0)

All done?

22 (0)

All done?

23 (0)

All done?

24 (0)

No toads

25

No data available

26

No data available

27

No data available

28

No data available

29

No data available

30

No data available

31

No data available

My pictures:
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 400 toads
toad detour movement diagram

You are responsible for your own safety, especially in regards to automobiles and hazardous weather. Wear reflective clothing, carry flashlights/headlamps and use caution. Arrive well before sunset so that you do not run over the toads on your way to the detour!

Sunset times provided by: sunrise-sunset.org. Weather forecast provided by: www.weather.gov

Read about this thriving species at the American Toad Wikipedia page

Read why it is NOT a good idea to handle the Pickerel Frogs (or put them in a bucket) at the Toad Detour on the Pickerel Frog Wiki page

This page text and the toad prediction formulas are copyright (c) 2020-2022 Christopher H. Hand and hats4toads.com.

Questions/comments to: prognosticator@hats4toads.com