Toad Detour Predictor Page for the Roxborough Reservoir

Toads are coming

Info: Official web site / Facebook

Basic information and gear list

Mini screen

Formulas info

Forward toad crossings predicted to be (mostly) complete on 2023-04-13. On this day Last day? and the days beyond All done? the forecast is cutoff arbitrarily because a certain number have been predicted for the season. This is just a guess. (There will still be toads returning to the woods from the reservoir.)

Click on an above date for forecast details. Forecast is how many American Toads a fully staffed detour night would count in the two hours after sunset.


The below table shows past days and the number of toads seen vs the number of toads predicted.

Date Reported
Toads

Predicted
2023-03-17 0 0
2023-03-23 176 290
2023-03-25 0 0
2023-03-27 0 0
2023-03-31 2 0
2023-04-01 108 290
2023-04-04 174 77
2023-04-05 53 0
2023-04-06 381 290
2023-04-11 2 15
2023-04-12 42 127
2023-04-13 27 111
2023-04-14 12 0
2023-04-15 5 175
2023-04-16 1 0
2023-04-20 2 0
2023-04-21 1 0
2023-04-22 106 250
2023-04-23 0 0
2023-04-30 32 60
2023-05-07 24 17
2023-05-08 1 0
2023-05-13 0 0
2023-05-20 2 0
TotalDays Reported Predicted
Total
24 1151 1702

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